Tuesday, April 5, 2011

Libya and the World Economy

Paul Krugman argues that really the problem was global demand.



With populations and incomes steadily increasing in Asia, there seemed to be an inexorable rise in global energy demand.

Instead, what the higher oil price will probably mean this time round - but only if it remains elevated for several months, and starts being passed through to consumers - is a further squeeze on household budgets
..
The dilemma for Western monetary policy is particularly unpleasant, because the only way for them to keep inflation down is by punishing households in their countries even more by increasing their borrowing costs

And if it means the world gets a stable and democratic Middle East, then perhaps it is a price worth paying.




...
The conflict in Libya is the bloodiest in a wave of uprisings that has toppled the leaders of Tunisia and Egypt and spread to Algeria, Bahrain, Oman, Syria and Yemen. Oil prices have climbed 18 percent since the ouster of Tunisian President Zine Abidine Ben Ali on Jan. 14.
....
New York futures also declined after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said late yesterday that policy makers must watch inflation “very closely” for evidence that rising commodity costs are having more than a temporary impact on consumer prices.


Yes demand and supply again, we are living in a finite world, everything limited, scarcity natural resources. That is why we need innovation and discovery new reserve, but our limited capacity not fast enough these  meet the demand either, so the efficiency that is another innovation-- within what we have. That is why the world must understand what mean Libya civil war is. Whole world suffered last few years. USA think because of the distant, Libya problems is not really theirs but Europeans. I see different way. USA is the biggest economy world, their investment around world much impact on this economic down turn directly indirectly. e.g. less sell cola and big Mac, less money for the USA coffer. If Libya war drags on, so the Libya oil can not get out, who know the OPEC increases price whatever they want again or it gives overall impact on proximity, fundamentals it can be measureable short but immeasurableness side of long-run overall impact on the world economy, that case USA, the biggest looser as it is the biggest economy. I know President Obama now bidding second terms, every steps he moves for Americana wishes, this is immediate effect on USA economic too, so USA might help for Libyan fighter winning their battle that is looking bright for all around. Who know their slink super wiz technology kill Gaddafi off! that would be very nice indeed!

YSK-W

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